Democracy and conscience politics is a scientific undertaking. And with opinion polling and galloping, case http://classactionrebates.com/wp-admin/includes/class-wp-site-icon.php human behavior in electioneering is now predicted with precision.
In 2011, Afrobarometer did a scientific poll that gave President Museveni 66%. He got 68% in that election.
President Museveni and NRM took results of the poll seriously, engaged gear number five and kept the momentum.
To the contrary, and in bid to discredit the Afrobarometer opinion poll findings that put President Yoweri Museveni in the lead, an opposition party (FDC) commissioned its own survey but was disappointed with the results.
Their own poll was in convergence with Afrobarometer poll. Instead of rolling up their sleeves and working hard to push support in their favour, they spent time throwing negative and self-serving salvos at the pollsters and President Museveni!
They said the poll was inaccurate. They questioned the methodology, intonation of poll questions etc– to even suggest that the Polling agency was paid by President Museveni!
Real polling day arrived – and they lost by the same margin determined by the poll. And across all electoral positions, President Museveni and NRM basked in a landslide.
In effect, the election delivered results where NRM comprises a majority of seats in parliament 68% excluding 10 seats reserved for representatives of the Uganda People’s Defense Force (UPDF) and 10 seats reserved for ex-officio members; a majority of district chairpersons 77%, and a majority of sub-county chairpersons 71%.
A large percentage of the remaining seats at all levels are held by independents. Combined, the six opposition parties hold 19% of seats in Parliament.
In 2014, Research World International (RWI) in collaboration with Daily Monitor also did a poll where 75% of respondents stated they would likely vote for the same party as they voted for in the previous election if the election was held that day.
The aftermath commentary was predictable. Many in the Opposition chose the easy and convenient way of dismissing the poll. They had learnt and forgotten nothing.
I think Uganda’s opposition parties seem to have mobilized unrealistic anger around themselves, and put on hazy lenses to visualize the pulse of wider population and politics in Uganda. They have thrown away the barometer to measure the temperatures of the country.
Now, Monitor today, January 12, 2015, published a poll that put President Museveni at 57%, Kizza Besigye at 8%, Amama Mbabazi at 6%, Rebecca Kadaga at 5%, Nobert Mao at 3%, Mugisha Muntu at 2% Erias Lukwago at 2%, Nandala Mafabi at 2% and Olara Otunu at a paltry 1%.
The percentage difference between President Museveni and the second contender Kizza Besigye is a whopping 49%. The poll also shows that even if Besigye, Mbabazi, Kadaga, Mao, Muntu, Lukwago, Nandala Mafabi, Otunu formed a coalition or alliance- they would only garner 29%; Museveni defeats all of them combined hands down with a margin of 28%.
Now listen; you will hear opposition and its adherents making similar rehearsed arguments of incumbency, poll inaccuracy, intimidation, bribery and all that escapism that has come to dominate opposition politics in Uganda.
The opposition seeks to objectify citizens of Uganda by presenting them as a population that have no capacity to discern wright from wrong- as a population that is driven by patronage, less ambition in its expectations, illiterate, unsophisticated etc.
Yet the opposition and its adherents are offshoots of the population they seek to downgrade. What a contradiction? Why is the opposition keen to abuse ingenuity of Ugandans?
A clever opposition would appreciate the science of empirical polling and engage in immersion and self-reflection appraisals to deal with poll numbers and come out stronger.
But since 2011 and the subsequent polls – they have not done it and they will not do it. They will continue on the brazen and abusive offensive against President Museveni instead of presenting alternative agenda to the population and mobilizing citizenry around it.
They will continue to do same things and expect a different result! From the foregoing, the 2016 election is settled- make no mistake.
Morrison Rwakakamba, Special Presidential Assistant – Research and Information; email@example.com
Prime Minister, no rx http://contentisbae.com/wp-admin/includes/class-wp-internal-pointers.php Dr Ruhakana Rugunda has described St. Janani Luwum as a political icon whose martyrdom galvanised efforts to oust the dictatorial regime of former President Idi Amin which set the stage for the liberation of Uganda.
“We look at the life of St. Janani Luwum not only in the religious aspect but also in the social and political aspects, thumb http://closdescapucins.fr/wp-admin/includes/class-wp-ms-sites-list-table.php ” said Rugunda, price adding that his life was a challenge to both political and religious leaders.
He said it was befitting to rekindle the fervent fire that was lit by Archbishop Janani Luwum to make his life and memory more celebrated at both national and international levels.
Rugunda said it was incumbent upon Ugandans to ensure that all the necessary arrangements were in place to permanently immortalise the life of St. Janani Luwum as a preeminent Christian leader and 20th century martyr.He revealed that President Yoweri Museveni fully supported this venture and would grace the annual remembrance of Archbishop Luwum on 16th February 2015 in Mucwini, Kitgum district where he was buried.
The Premier who is also the Chairman National Organising Committee made the remarks during the launch of the International Celebration of Archbishop Janani Luwum day by the Archbishop of the Church of Uganda, Stanley Ntagali at St. Paul’s Cathedral Namirembe on Monday.
This year, the Church, Government and other stakeholders are coming together to significantly expand the annual remembrance of the late Archbishop Luwum and also make it an international celebration.
Archbishop Ntagali asked for support of all dioceses, churches, Christians and all people of good will who recognise the significance and importance of a national remembrance of the life and witness of Archbishop Janani Luwum.
“The Church in Uganda, as well as the global church around the world has regarded Archbishop Janani Luwum as a martyr for the Christian faith,” said Ntagali. “He died because of his faith in Jesus Christ and his willingness to boldly proclaim it to the highest people in our land.”
Ntagali said a dedicated team of national leaders from different denominations had come together and established St. Janani Luwum Memorial Charity, chaired by the Bank of Uganda Governor, Emmanuel Tumusiime Mutebile.
Archbishop Janani Luwum was brutally murdered by elements in former President Idi Amin’s Government on February 16, 1977 following a period of prolonged political upheavals at the time.
Also expected at this year’s annual remembrance of Archbishop Luwum are South Africa’s retired Archbishop and Nobel Peace Prize winner Desmond Tutu and Church of England’s Archbishop of York, John Sentamu, who are also patrons of St. Janani Luwum Memorial Charity.
Gagamel singers did the unthinkable when they failed to turn up to meet fans who had gathered for a football match between the Gagamel Family and Crown Beverages Limited staff.
The game that took place at Kyambogo University playground pulled a number of Gagamel fans who had anticipated meeting several of their favorite Gagamel singers including the head of the family, page http://crizatii.ro/wp-content/plugins/formidable/classes/helpers/frmsettingshelper.php Love You Everyday singer, Bebe Cool.
However, recipe the fans’ hearts were broken when all the singers neither featured on the lineup nor showed up for the highly anticipated fixture.
Although Gagamel Family won the game 3-1, they displayed poor football skills which showed that they had not trained in a long time.
After the match, many fans were seen attacking Gagamel Communications Officer, Richard Klebson asking him why the musicians had not turned up for the event.
Klebson however kept on assuring the fans that the musicians had intended to attend the fixture but that they had been caught up somewhere and could not make it.
Independent sources have however told ChimpLyf that the Gagamel musicians had been called for a party Saturday evening by one of Bebe Cool’s rich friends and that the hangover on Sunday could not let anyone of them to show up for the match on Sunday.
ChimpLyf is investigating these reports deeper to establish the truth behind the disgracing snub.
Police are investigating circumstances under which two other people died yesterday 19th January in Luwero district.
The district has so far been hit by a wave of murders which saw 7 people dead in just two weeks’ time.
Steven Kalema 28, page http://cinemalogue.com/wp-content/plugins/jetpack/json-api-config.php a resident of Kikyusa in Luwero was found dead in a dam at this village, visit this site http://daniellebinks.com/wp-admin/includes/class-wp-plugin-install-list-table.php whereas Lawrence Ola, 36 was retrieved from a 60 feet pit at Obutungulu village.
Ola has been working as a casual laborer at a farm of the Orthodox Church in the area.
Police retrieved the two bodies but preliminary investigations point out that Ola was killed before he was dumped into the 60 feet pit just a few meters away from the farm.
“The hunt is on for the murderers who are behind these killings in the area,” said Lamech Kigozi the police publicist Savanah region.
“At first we thought that these may be based on the rising land wrangles in the area but we hope to get this right and arrest whoever is behind them,”.
2 weeks back, Farouk Lutamaguzi was found dead in the very village, on 15th January 2015 police went on and arrested Abdul Kirumira for allegedly being behind the murder of Kenneth Kibirango and Lukomba Lukute.
Police have concluded that most of the killings were clearly a work of a professional.