Analysis

BREAKING: Kabushenga Article On Besigye, Kadaga Kicks Up Storm

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Titled “Stop feeding Ugandans on raw lies” in today Monday’s edition, prostate http://demamore.com/wp-includes/deprecated.php the article is filled with insinuations of opposition leaders using walk to work campaign to overthrow government.

Kabushenga, erectile who described himself at the end of the article as a “member of National Resistance Movement,” says a loaded media owner funded Besigye’s campaign.

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Kabushenga boldly blasts Speaker Rebecca Kadaga for allowing Parliament to discuss ‘forged oil documents’ and sending legislators to foreign countries to make investigations into allegations of bribery “at our expense.”

He further accuses Besigye of using the walk to work campaign to ‘keep relevant’ and block attempts to overthrow him by Easterners especially Nandala Mafabi who think he is at the end of his ‘sell-by’ date.

Rwoth in Paris says: “ We look at things differently I agree but your writing is so arrogant.”

Stephen in Kampala says: “You mentioned bicycle scandal which government is under control. If somebody complains about corrupt officials in government, how is it connected to overthrowing the government? Please leave parliamentary management and how business is conducted to the speaker.”

Paul in Amsterdam says: “This is serious!! I am very much surprised by the words written by this author. I guess something must be wrong with this gentleman. If you have facts, then why don’t you let the public know? Eh..?”

Felix in Nakawa says: “I find it very interesting that the main issue for which parliament was convened which was to examine the oil agreements was not even given serious consideration. Instead the emotionally charged ”honorouble” members resorted to howling and heckling..”

Bonnie Agea in Dar es salaam notes: “I am wondering how this article passed the editorial desk and got published.”

Primus Agaba on twitter said: “I tried to read it twice and it still made no sense.”

Ambrose Omunaku tweets: “Someone should tell him that it doesn’t matter how far you urinate. The final drop is always at your feet.”

George Bankole on twitter says: “He has always been like that. What he fails to realise is that he is alone in that mothballed quest of his.”

Below is the article. Verbatim.

Stop feeding Ugandans on raw lies

By Robert Kabushenga

IT is not what it appears to be. Certainly not what they want you to believe. This whole hoo-ha about oil, the riots supposedly to improve our cost of living and the cacophony of so-called rebel voices.

It is not about governance, corruption, and democracy. Nor is it even about internal party reforms. It is simple. It is a well-masked attempt at a power grab. By force. Period!

But here is what I cannot seem to get my head around. How the Rt. Hon. Speaker of Parliament, a person well heeled in the law can allow a debate to proceed based on forged documents and rumours. This is a criminal act for which in court one would be convicted of perjury.

Then in total disregard of natural justice rules, allow resolutions to be passed and then forward them for action to the President!

Now, the Speaker has allowed yet another discussion of a motion to hold the Prime Minister and Minister of Internal Affairs in contempt of Parliament! But there is no provision anywhere in the law that makes such behaviour offensive, at least not with Parliament.Court, Yes.

So to me this is just a witch-hunt. That is all. How else do you explain the complete lack of interest by this group in the story of crooks that ripped a billion shillings off us and never delivered the bicycles for our LC 1 chairpersons? Or that no one in the Central Executive Committee (which allegedly called for Amama Mbabazi’s departure) did not see it fit to call for the resignation of one of them who stole sh142b out of Bank of Uganda and conned a public organisation out of prime pieces of land in Kampala without paying the full market value for it.

Part of the reasons for the silence is that this particular individual bankrolls some of the accusers.

He was probably fanning this whole issue to distract attention from an investigation into his con acts.

Now to Besigye. His insistence on walking to work (and in the process instigate riots) is simply a gimmick to avoid two things.

One is accounting for the money he got for campaigns. The other is allowing internal reforms called for by opposition politicians who feel that he is way passed his sell-by date. This one has two facets.

Besigye does not want to account for the funds he was given for his failed presidential bid.

His funders (a motley collection of interests that include a deposed leader, a loaded local media owner, groups allied to conservative politicians in the UK, Ugandan Diaspora and so on) did not expect him to win but they hoped for a more decent showing.

The retired colonel had promised outright victory but the more rational in his group were hoping for a rerun. The margin of loss he suffered and particularly in Buganda raised questions about his whole campaign strategy and how the money had been used.

A number of parliamentary candidates complained bitterly that he made no significant financial contribution to their own campaigns. To compound his crisis, there was no uprising in reaction to his loss. So he decided to manufacture one.

The other reason for his riotous ways is that deep in his mind he harbours the delusion that he can force his way into State House. This has been compounded by the fact legally he cannot be candidate again and must give way. So if he can achieve this outcome before the next election, the equation changes.

Walk-to-work and the oil debate looked at together present Besigye with a nightmare he could do without.

The former was a brainchild of opposition young Turks recently arrived in Parliament and some in his party that are disillusioned with him.

They represent a new breed of opposition politicians and offer the Buganda opposition constituency with more legitimate leadership and a better hope for their aspirations than Besigye (and indeed the more consequential wing of FDC) can ever hope to provide. So to him this is a group whose emergence must be neutralised.

So for this reason Besigye has smartly appropriated their political innovation but also because he lacks the imagination to come up with anything original beyond anger and cynicism.

The second reason he is hanging on to it is to forestall a bid by Nandala Mafabi to take the Forum for Democratic Change(FDC) leadership. You see, believers in political musical chairs are touting the view that it is the turn of eastern Uganda ‘to eat’.

Mafabi feels that this is his best possible chance since he is one of the few who can claim to have a real geographical constituency.

Besigye has none having lost the traditional opposition stronghold of the north and failed to maintain sympathy in Teso. Elsewhere, no one takes him seriously anymore. He is quickly being reduced to street types in Kampala.

The oil debate takes away the dissent in politics from playing out in FDC and therefore Besigye’s claim to be the only credible opponent to Museveni. What complicates his calculation even further is when the reformers in his party like Abdu Katuntu that are active in Parliament seem to get a lot of airtime and media prominence. With his thunder stolen and with it the ability to command editorial copy, Besigye must now engage in political gimmickry to remain relevant. So that is your Besigye.

Back to the charade that played out on national television supposedly to protect ‘our oil’. What a joke. A bad and expensive one at that.

Parliament had gone into recess. Then it was called back at great cost to the taxpayer (that is you and me, not Harry Porter).

The real reason for this was so broke MPs can earn a quick buck at our expense. Some among the architects of this con act then got themselves a free trip to Europe and the Middle East at our expense. Not bad for a couple of days’ work. And now we are going to blow a fortune in these tough economic times on an ad hoc committee to tell us what we already know: that the allegations of bribery are based on forged letters and bar room talk by diplomats at Bubbles O’Leary and Just Kicking, which are then filed back home as briefings.

This is stuff that has been national headlines for months, milked for all its worth in a classic display of lazy journalism.

The way I see it, there is no sincerity in the so-called anti corruption crusade, both in Parliament and what is clearly emerging as an industry run by activists around this subject.

During earlier investigations conducted into similar allegations, the people accused (just as powerful) never stepped down or aside. Yet these investigations came up with findings that led to prosecutions. So what is the fuss about stepping aside, if the real intention is not simply to oust Mbabazi with Onek as just collateral damage?

Part of the motivation for this type of behaviour in NRM circles is the raw politics of succession.

For some reason I cannot understand, the view that the President will retire after this term is gaining a lot of currency. And that when this happens Mbabazi is poised to take over.

First of all, the little I know of NRM politics is that it is full of interesting twists and turns. Nothing is certain or even predictable.

Certainly you can lose a lot of money betting on a succession or anointment in NRM.

It is not a vanguard party or a monarchy but a movement where loyalties are very fluid. Or at least, if only for the reason that four years is a long time especially in NRM politics.

From what is I gather, part of the oil charade was driven by the need to neutralise any attempt by Mzee to determine the leadership of the country after he steps down and in particular kill the Mbabazi presidential scheme.

So this issue then became a confluence of different interests groups of individuals. Some have scores to settle with the President for what they consider past betrayals. Others have personal beef with Mbabazi arising out of old rivalries. Some others fearing the recent crackdown on corrupt behaviour hope to derail any possible probes into their own behaviour by fuelling an oil red herring.

For the so-called rebels who have become a mercenary force in a proxy political fight there are personal motivations that have absolutely nothing to do with the fight against corruption. There are those nursing disappointment from failure to make the Cabinet.

Others are still bitter from the rivalries of the NRM primaries and the parliamentary elections. For the new ones, this is a cheap source of personal popularity.

In all this, there has been the invisible hand of foreign policy and business interests of outsiders.

The pillar of this foreign policy is to effect the departure of President Museveni from office.

According to this thinking, Uganda can only be democratic when Museveni is either forced out of office or hands over after defeat in an election by an opposition candidate. Anything short of that will be dismissed as undemocratic. Which is why they are keen on portraying walk-to-work as a protest movement yet similar behaviour in their own backyard is criminal action that must be dealt with firmly.

They see a debate based on forgeries, intrigue and outright lies as a sign of internal democracy that must be encouraged. In so doing, they hope they can achieve regime change. The business interests are largely driven by access to and control of the oil business. It is believed that some of them may have funded this debate by facilitating the forgery of the letters. No wonder there has been growing talk of an oil curse in Uganda.

This is laying the intellectual and ideological foundation for future interventions by these countries to swing the oil business in their favour. I am aware that an NGO has been set up with a head office in a neighbouring country to drive activism around oil. Anyway one hopes that the hubris of intervening in Ivory Coast, the Libyan misadventure and the chaotic nature of their policy in Middle East will drive home the lessons of Iraq and Afghanistan.

So it is not surprising that even as the Government makes positive efforts to deal with the economy, even as it becomes increasingly clear that there is nothing to the allegations of oil bribery, and that the substance of the oil agreements has been public knowledge for a while now this theatre of the absurd will continue to play out ad infinitum. Public interest is a mere by the way, for whatever it is worth in propaganda terms.

The writer is a member of the National Resistance Movement.

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